Race 2B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Cameron Nash 8.7% 8.9% 12.6% 8.9% 10.0% 7.9% 9.7% 8.6% 8.5% 6.8% 4.0% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Kyle Dochoda 15.1% 12.7% 12.3% 12.5% 11.1% 9.9% 8.1% 6.9% 4.3% 3.3% 2.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Jake Rizika 8.3% 10.1% 8.6% 7.3% 8.0% 9.1% 10.2% 10.2% 8.9% 7.9% 5.8% 4.2% 1.3% 0.1%
Rachel Foster 8.2% 10.8% 11.0% 9.7% 10.6% 9.9% 8.4% 8.1% 7.7% 6.9% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Alden Grimes 17.7% 17.4% 14.4% 13.5% 9.5% 8.5% 6.2% 5.2% 4.0% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Puopolo 8.1% 7.8% 7.3% 9.6% 9.6% 9.4% 9.2% 9.3% 9.1% 7.1% 6.7% 4.8% 1.7% 0.3%
Emery Wallace 3.1% 3.4% 4.6% 4.3% 5.5% 5.1% 5.6% 5.6% 7.4% 11.4% 13.8% 18.0% 9.9% 2.3%
Alexander Bowen 9.5% 8.9% 8.8% 7.9% 9.2% 7.7% 10.0% 8.1% 9.0% 7.8% 7.2% 4.2% 1.5% 0.2%
Austen Freda 7.3% 6.4% 6.6% 7.9% 7.7% 9.6% 8.8% 11.2% 10.0% 8.5% 7.5% 5.6% 2.6% 0.3%
Christopher Pearson 5.5% 5.9% 5.2% 8.1% 7.4% 8.2% 8.0% 8.7% 10.2% 10.2% 9.8% 8.5% 3.6% 0.7%
Joseph Chamberlin 4.2% 4.0% 3.9% 5.5% 5.7% 7.5% 7.4% 7.7% 8.8% 11.5% 14.3% 11.8% 6.6% 1.1%
Erica Brown 2.8% 2.1% 3.5% 3.3% 3.5% 5.2% 6.3% 6.9% 7.3% 10.9% 14.1% 17.2% 13.9% 3.0%
Brian Kiley 1.3% 1.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 1.6% 2.5% 3.7% 4.1% 6.1% 13.9% 39.7% 20.7%
Anna Strait 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 2.3% 3.7% 16.4% 70.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.