Race 3B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kyle Dochoda 13.6% 12.8% 13.4% 12.5% 10.0% 8.8% 8.0% 6.4% 5.4% 3.9% 3.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Puopolo 9.0% 9.2% 9.4% 8.9% 8.9% 10.6% 8.9% 9.3% 8.0% 8.0% 5.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Joseph Chamberlin 4.5% 3.9% 5.0% 5.7% 5.9% 6.7% 5.3% 8.4% 9.0% 11.3% 13.3% 13.0% 7.0% 1.0%
Christopher Pearson 5.1% 5.6% 7.2% 6.5% 8.5% 8.0% 7.8% 10.0% 10.3% 10.5% 8.8% 8.1% 3.2% 0.4%
Alden Grimes 16.7% 17.4% 15.1% 11.3% 11.6% 8.6% 7.6% 4.5% 3.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Austen Freda 6.6% 6.6% 6.8% 7.0% 9.4% 9.6% 9.2% 8.4% 9.8% 9.1% 9.1% 5.7% 2.3% 0.4%
Cameron Nash 9.8% 10.5% 10.5% 9.5% 10.3% 9.2% 9.4% 8.0% 7.9% 6.8% 4.7% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Jake Rizika 8.9% 9.9% 8.1% 8.8% 8.8% 8.6% 9.1% 9.6% 8.0% 7.4% 7.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Emery Wallace 3.7% 3.2% 2.6% 3.3% 3.5% 4.3% 6.7% 6.7% 9.5% 11.5% 13.4% 17.9% 11.1% 2.6%
Erica Brown 2.9% 2.1% 3.1% 2.8% 4.0% 5.7% 5.3% 6.6% 9.7% 8.9% 11.6% 19.8% 13.7% 3.8%
Rachel Foster 10.6% 8.6% 9.2% 10.9% 9.1% 9.0% 10.0% 9.4% 7.6% 6.9% 4.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Alexander Bowen 7.2% 8.4% 8.8% 11.1% 8.5% 8.0% 10.4% 9.8% 8.0% 7.5% 6.4% 4.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Brian Kiley 1.2% 1.4% 0.5% 1.3% 1.3% 2.2% 1.8% 1.9% 2.6% 4.4% 7.7% 12.6% 40.9% 20.2%
Anna Strait 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.5% 2.8% 3.8% 16.2% 71.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.