Race 4B

george-morris

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alden Grimes 19.9% 17.3% 15.1% 13.1% 8.1% 7.8% 7.6% 3.6% 2.7% 2.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Kyle Dochoda 14.9% 13.1% 13.3% 9.7% 11.4% 10.5% 8.7% 6.4% 5.1% 3.3% 1.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Cameron Nash 8.3% 10.1% 9.9% 9.6% 9.1% 9.0% 8.0% 9.8% 10.3% 5.6% 6.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Christopher Pearson 4.8% 6.6% 6.6% 7.5% 7.4% 7.2% 8.8% 9.1% 9.6% 10.6% 9.2% 8.9% 3.5% 0.2%
Rachel Foster 8.0% 9.9% 11.3% 10.1% 9.3% 8.8% 10.2% 8.2% 8.1% 6.9% 4.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Andrew Puopolo 7.7% 8.6% 7.8% 9.0% 9.8% 10.1% 8.4% 9.0% 8.5% 7.5% 7.3% 4.5% 1.6% 0.2%
Austen Freda 8.2% 8.0% 7.8% 8.8% 7.7% 9.0% 9.1% 9.2% 8.9% 9.2% 7.0% 4.5% 2.1% 0.5%
Brian Kiley 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 1.6% 2.2% 2.2% 3.3% 4.8% 6.3% 13.5% 38.3% 20.9%
Emery Wallace 3.6% 2.2% 3.1% 3.0% 4.6% 4.9% 4.6% 7.8% 8.5% 11.7% 13.3% 17.4% 12.8% 2.5%
Alexander Bowen 7.7% 7.5% 8.6% 9.2% 10.3% 8.5% 8.8% 10.7% 7.2% 8.8% 7.7% 3.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Erica Brown 2.5% 2.6% 2.3% 2.4% 5.0% 5.5% 5.9% 6.6% 7.1% 9.8% 13.9% 19.2% 14.1% 3.1%
Jake Rizika 8.3% 8.2% 8.8% 9.7% 9.3% 9.9% 9.8% 8.5% 8.0% 7.4% 6.1% 3.8% 2.1% 0.1%
Joseph Chamberlin 4.9% 4.7% 3.6% 5.6% 5.9% 6.7% 7.3% 7.9% 11.7% 10.5% 12.4% 11.1% 6.2% 1.5%
Anna Strait 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 1.5% 2.4% 4.7% 15.9% 70.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.