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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria2.39+1.12vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.22+2.00vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.80+1.84vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.70+1.10vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.59+0.34vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.63-0.72vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.68+0.14vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-0.15-2.95vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-1.30-1.41vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.34-4.51vs Predicted
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13University of Puget Sound-0.76-4.33vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-1.72-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12University of Victoria2.390.4%1st Place
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4.0Western Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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4.84Western Washington University0.800.1%1st Place
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5.1University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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5.34Western Washington University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Washington0.630.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Oregon-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.05Oregon State University-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.59University of Puget Sound-1.300.0%1st Place
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7.49Western Washington University-0.340.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Puget Sound-0.760.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Washington-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brianna Cerkiewicz | 44.0% | 26.2% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristina Stewart | 12.7% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sara Welsh | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elisha Allen | 6.3% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kirsten Campbell | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Molly Utter | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Taisuke Kamoshita | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 9.2% |
| Carl Fixsen | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Diana Fahning | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 25.1% | 23.6% |
| Veronica Whitley | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
| Lindsay Maggard | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 13.1% |
| Brendan Philip | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 12.8% | 21.3% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.