Race 5B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Cameron Nash 9.7% 9.3% 10.8% 9.2% 9.7% 10.0% 9.2% 7.9% 7.6% 5.8% 6.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Andrew Puopolo 9.2% 9.2% 9.0% 8.6% 9.0% 10.4% 9.0% 9.9% 9.0% 6.7% 5.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Kyle Dochoda 13.0% 13.9% 13.1% 11.2% 9.8% 8.8% 8.9% 7.3% 5.9% 3.8% 2.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Joseph Chamberlin 3.3% 4.3% 5.8% 5.3% 6.4% 6.8% 6.3% 8.6% 9.2% 8.8% 14.4% 12.6% 6.8% 1.4%
Jake Rizika 6.7% 8.5% 8.8% 10.2% 8.8% 8.8% 9.4% 8.5% 8.1% 9.3% 7.3% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
Alexander Bowen 8.5% 7.1% 7.8% 8.4% 10.8% 9.1% 10.0% 8.1% 8.7% 7.5% 6.3% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4%
Austen Freda 7.7% 8.1% 8.3% 7.9% 8.7% 8.6% 9.1% 9.7% 7.9% 10.7% 6.9% 4.5% 1.6% 0.3%
Alden Grimes 19.2% 19.1% 12.4% 11.5% 11.4% 6.9% 6.7% 4.8% 4.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 6.7% 3.8% 7.9% 7.1% 6.3% 7.3% 8.5% 10.5% 11.1% 10.7% 8.6% 7.1% 3.9% 0.5%
Rachel Foster 8.9% 9.4% 9.7% 11.9% 9.6% 9.5% 8.1% 9.1% 8.8% 5.9% 5.0% 3.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Erica Brown 2.4% 3.2% 1.7% 3.6% 4.3% 5.6% 5.9% 6.4% 7.3% 9.6% 13.8% 18.9% 14.7% 2.6%
Emery Wallace 3.0% 2.9% 3.1% 3.6% 3.8% 5.6% 6.9% 5.9% 7.4% 13.0% 13.9% 16.4% 12.0% 2.5%
Brian Kiley 1.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 0.9% 1.9% 1.4% 2.7% 3.5% 4.5% 5.7% 15.0% 39.6% 20.1%
Anna Strait 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 1.4% 2.3% 4.8% 15.2% 71.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.