Race 6B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kyle Dochoda 13.5% 14.8% 12.3% 11.1% 10.9% 9.5% 6.7% 6.6% 6.3% 4.2% 2.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Erica Brown 2.2% 3.6% 3.8% 3.6% 4.9% 6.3% 5.8% 5.4% 6.7% 10.3% 13.6% 18.4% 12.4% 3.0%
Alden Grimes 19.6% 17.3% 14.7% 12.2% 8.8% 8.7% 6.7% 5.6% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Austen Freda 6.0% 8.3% 6.6% 8.1% 8.4% 9.2% 8.9% 9.6% 9.2% 7.6% 9.7% 6.5% 1.6% 0.3%
Jake Rizika 6.9% 8.1% 9.2% 9.0% 9.6% 9.0% 8.8% 10.1% 8.5% 8.2% 6.5% 4.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Rachel Foster 10.2% 7.6% 10.8% 9.1% 11.2% 7.8% 9.8% 10.1% 7.3% 6.5% 5.6% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Christopher Pearson 6.4% 7.9% 6.6% 7.6% 7.3% 7.3% 9.2% 7.4% 10.3% 10.9% 8.5% 7.5% 2.8% 0.3%
Joseph Chamberlin 5.0% 4.7% 4.3% 6.3% 4.8% 7.1% 6.6% 7.5% 9.4% 10.4% 12.1% 12.7% 7.2% 1.9%
Andrew Puopolo 8.5% 7.4% 9.4% 6.9% 9.3% 10.5% 10.0% 9.0% 9.1% 8.1% 5.9% 4.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Cameron Nash 9.0% 8.6% 9.2% 10.2% 9.9% 8.8% 9.8% 10.1% 7.5% 8.2% 5.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Alexander Bowen 8.5% 7.2% 8.2% 10.5% 8.2% 9.6% 9.3% 9.0% 9.3% 7.5% 5.9% 5.0% 1.8% 0.0%
Brian Kiley 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 1.7% 1.9% 3.2% 4.1% 7.2% 12.3% 42.4% 20.2%
Emery Wallace 3.1% 3.6% 3.4% 3.8% 4.7% 4.2% 5.8% 6.9% 8.6% 10.7% 14.7% 16.1% 11.8% 2.6%
Anna Strait 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 4.9% 15.5% 71.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.