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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+5.20vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.30+3.55vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.94+0.98vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+4.24vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.13+1.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.96+0.86vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.60-2.30vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.12-1.80vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.03+0.43vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.12-0.72vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.23-4.99vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-0.09-1.16vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.83-6.91vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-1.21-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.55Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.98Bowdoin College2.940.2%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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6.36Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.86Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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4.7Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.2Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.43Boston University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.28Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
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6.01University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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11.84Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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13.26Syracuse University-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bowen | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Foster | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alden Grimes | 19.7% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Jake Rizika | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Austen Freda | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 14.7% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Erica Brown | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 19.5% | 12.0% | 3.3% |
| Emery Wallace | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 3.3% |
| Cameron Nash | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Brian Kiley | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 13.8% | 41.9% | 19.2% |
| Peter Girard | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Anna Strait | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 15.1% | 71.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.