Race 8B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alden Grimes 19.5% 17.0% 15.5% 12.9% 8.1% 8.3% 5.7% 5.8% 3.1% 1.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Alexander Bowen 7.8% 10.2% 9.1% 8.6% 8.2% 9.2% 10.0% 10.0% 9.1% 7.8% 5.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Cameron Nash 8.9% 10.2% 9.7% 9.2% 7.8% 10.0% 7.9% 9.5% 9.1% 8.1% 6.3% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Kyle Dochoda 11.8% 14.4% 11.2% 11.8% 11.7% 9.3% 9.0% 6.3% 6.5% 4.6% 1.7% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Emery Wallace 2.1% 2.6% 3.9% 3.9% 4.6% 5.0% 6.7% 5.5% 7.8% 10.1% 13.0% 19.3% 13.3% 2.2%
Andrew Puopolo 8.8% 6.6% 8.6% 8.9% 11.0% 8.2% 10.1% 7.3% 8.6% 8.2% 6.2% 6.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Jake Rizika 9.8% 8.2% 9.6% 9.6% 10.2% 8.4% 8.8% 9.1% 8.1% 7.4% 6.2% 3.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Peter Girard 6.4% 6.8% 7.3% 7.0% 7.3% 8.0% 9.1% 9.2% 8.7% 8.6% 9.5% 7.7% 3.9% 0.5%
Austen Freda 7.2% 7.0% 5.5% 9.2% 8.6% 9.8% 7.9% 8.8% 10.2% 9.9% 8.6% 5.3% 2.0% 0.0%
Rachel Foster 10.0% 8.3% 9.7% 10.9% 9.8% 10.4% 8.4% 10.1% 7.5% 6.8% 4.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Brian Kiley 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 1.8% 4.1% 4.8% 6.7% 12.6% 41.0% 21.4%
Anna Strait 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 1.0% 0.4% 1.7% 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 4.0% 16.6% 71.0%
Joseph Chamberlin 4.1% 4.7% 5.4% 4.3% 5.3% 6.7% 7.7% 8.5% 10.5% 10.9% 13.6% 11.0% 6.1% 1.2%
Erica Brown 2.9% 2.8% 3.1% 2.6% 5.7% 4.2% 7.0% 6.4% 5.7% 9.7% 15.3% 20.5% 11.1% 3.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.