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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.23+5.00vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.96+4.63vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.13+3.33vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.09+7.80vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.28+3.84vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.94-1.72vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.12+1.95vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.75-3.31vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.02-4.92vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.12-3.52vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.81-0.93vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-5.59vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.83-5.83vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-1.21-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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6.63Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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6.33Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.8Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.280.0%1st Place
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4.28Bowdoin College2.940.2%1st Place
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8.95Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
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4.69Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.08Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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6.48Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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10.07Boston University0.810.0%1st Place
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6.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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13.25Syracuse University-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Nash | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Austen Freda | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jake Rizika | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brian Kiley | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 39.6% | 19.1% |
| John Piotti | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 8.3% | 1.8% |
| Alden Grimes | 17.1% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emery Wallace | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 9.6% | 2.3% |
| Casey Cabot | 13.9% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 17.2% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Shannon MacDonald | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 20.8% | 19.0% | 4.7% |
| Alexander Bowen | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Peter Girard | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Anna Strait | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 14.2% | 71.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.