Race 10B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Cameron Nash 6.9% 9.9% 10.1% 10.1% 8.6% 9.5% 10.5% 9.8% 7.7% 6.6% 5.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.0%
Andrew Puopolo 7.6% 9.4% 8.2% 8.0% 8.5% 11.0% 8.6% 11.0% 10.4% 7.0% 5.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Casey Cabot 13.9% 12.9% 13.1% 13.0% 11.3% 9.7% 7.4% 7.7% 5.4% 3.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Jake Rizika 6.1% 7.5% 10.0% 7.9% 9.3% 10.4% 9.1% 10.1% 7.9% 9.7% 7.4% 4.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Brian Kiley 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 3.4% 4.8% 7.3% 13.8% 38.7% 21.0%
Peter Girard 5.1% 5.8% 5.4% 6.8% 8.2% 7.6% 10.0% 9.6% 10.5% 11.1% 8.9% 7.8% 3.1% 0.1%
Alden Grimes 18.8% 16.3% 14.0% 12.2% 11.8% 8.4% 7.7% 5.3% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Bowen 7.4% 7.7% 9.1% 8.3% 9.2% 9.0% 9.5% 8.4% 10.1% 7.4% 7.6% 4.6% 1.7% 0.0%
Austen Freda 6.8% 4.6% 6.5% 7.1% 8.2% 10.8% 10.0% 10.6% 10.5% 9.6% 8.6% 4.6% 2.0% 0.1%
John Piotti 2.9% 3.0% 2.4% 4.1% 5.6% 5.9% 5.9% 6.7% 10.7% 13.2% 14.9% 14.2% 8.6% 1.9%
Emery Wallace 2.2% 2.7% 3.0% 3.4% 4.8% 5.1% 6.3% 7.2% 9.1% 10.7% 15.1% 18.4% 10.7% 1.3%
Anna Strait 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 2.1% 2.1% 5.1% 15.3% 70.6%
Shannon MacDonald 2.1% 2.2% 2.3% 3.3% 3.4% 2.7% 4.4% 5.8% 7.4% 10.8% 13.9% 20.2% 16.7% 4.8%
Sophie Hibben 19.3% 17.2% 14.9% 14.5% 9.3% 7.6% 7.2% 4.8% 2.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.