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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.72vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.40+1.99vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.68+2.91vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.64+4.74vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.51+4.10vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-0.22vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.05+2.85vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.48-4.01vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.77-3.19vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute0.81-1.66vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.05-5.95vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.43-0.86vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-2.79vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-2.14-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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3.99Fordham University2.400.2%1st Place
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5.91Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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8.74Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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9.1Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.1%1st Place
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9.85Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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3.99Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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5.81University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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8.34Webb Institute0.810.0%1st Place
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5.05SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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11.14Columbia University-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.21SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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13.39SUNY Maritime College-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 18.9% | 20.6% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Hersam | 16.4% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 1.4% |
| Nicole Edwards | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 1.8% |
| Luke Welker | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 3.8% |
| Julien Guiot | 17.5% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 19.3% | 29.8% | 10.4% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 21.1% | 18.6% | 4.9% |
| Matthew Daghir | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 11.6% | 76.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.