Race 2A

greater-ny-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Vidar Minkovsky 20.3% 16.9% 15.9% 13.7% 10.8% 7.8% 6.4% 4.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Cooper 7.8% 8.9% 10.7% 8.9% 10.5% 9.7% 12.8% 11.2% 8.7% 5.6% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Tucker Hersam 16.4% 15.5% 13.2% 13.2% 11.7% 10.6% 8.6% 6.4% 2.9% 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Vincent Yannelli 7.7% 8.1% 10.8% 9.5% 12.2% 10.2% 12.2% 11.2% 6.4% 6.5% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Ben Hunt 2.3% 3.0% 4.6% 4.4% 6.2% 5.5% 8.1% 10.2% 14.3% 13.1% 12.8% 9.5% 5.0% 1.0%
Luke Welker 8.1% 8.4% 7.6% 12.1% 10.7% 11.8% 10.3% 11.7% 8.4% 6.1% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Julien Guiot 18.0% 17.8% 14.5% 13.9% 11.2% 9.9% 7.2% 3.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lillian Vincens 3.3% 3.1% 3.5% 4.4% 5.5% 5.4% 5.4% 9.0% 13.2% 14.6% 13.1% 10.9% 7.1% 1.5%
Juan Lejarraga 9.6% 12.3% 11.2% 12.0% 11.5% 12.9% 10.8% 7.3% 5.8% 3.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicole Edwards 2.4% 1.9% 3.0% 2.7% 3.5% 6.2% 6.7% 8.9% 11.9% 14.6% 14.5% 12.7% 8.8% 2.2%
Zak Dasaro 1.3% 1.8% 2.2% 1.4% 1.8% 4.2% 3.8% 6.1% 9.2% 11.8% 14.5% 19.9% 17.6% 4.4%
Pierre Casenave-Pere 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 2.1% 3.0% 3.7% 5.6% 8.0% 13.5% 18.1% 29.8% 10.5%
Jonathan Gorman 2.1% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.4% 3.3% 4.1% 6.0% 7.8% 11.5% 14.8% 19.0% 19.8% 4.4%
Matthew Daghir 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.9% 3.1% 4.8% 10.7% 76.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.