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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.80+3.98vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria2.39+0.12vs Predicted
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3University of Puget Sound-0.76+5.45vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.70+1.10vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.72+5.31vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.63-1.74vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.59-2.69vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.22-5.05vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-0.15-3.02vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.34-3.51vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-1.30-2.29vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-0.68-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Western Washington University0.800.1%1st Place
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2.12University of Victoria2.390.4%1st Place
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8.45University of Puget Sound-0.760.0%1st Place
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5.1University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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10.31University of Washington-1.720.0%1st Place
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5.26University of Washington0.630.1%1st Place
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5.31Western Washington University0.590.1%1st Place
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3.95Western Washington University1.220.2%1st Place
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6.98Oregon State University-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.49Western Washington University-0.340.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Puget Sound-1.300.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Oregon-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Welsh | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Brianna Cerkiewicz | 43.4% | 26.6% | 14.7% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Maggard | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 9.7% |
| Elisha Allen | 6.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Philip | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 18.8% | 45.4% |
| Molly Utter | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kirsten Campbell | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Kristina Stewart | 15.3% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carl Fixsen | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Veronica Whitley | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 4.4% |
| Diana Fahning | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 23.3% | 27.7% |
| Taisuke Kamoshita | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.