Race 3A

greater-ny-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lillian Vincens 3.3% 2.1% 3.3% 3.9% 6.2% 5.5% 8.5% 8.9% 12.1% 12.6% 14.1% 10.8% 7.2% 1.5%
Thomas Cooper 7.7% 9.8% 9.9% 10.7% 7.6% 9.6% 13.0% 11.4% 8.5% 6.0% 3.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Julien Guiot 18.7% 16.9% 14.0% 11.8% 11.8% 10.5% 7.2% 4.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Welker 8.0% 9.3% 10.0% 8.7% 11.9% 12.4% 9.5% 11.0% 8.6% 5.6% 3.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Juan Lejarraga 9.4% 11.2% 12.3% 12.9% 11.3% 10.9% 10.1% 8.4% 7.7% 3.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 18.2% 16.5% 15.4% 14.2% 11.4% 8.5% 6.6% 5.7% 2.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tucker Hersam 16.8% 16.3% 14.7% 13.5% 11.7% 9.8% 7.7% 5.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicole Edwards 2.7% 3.1% 3.2% 4.4% 4.6% 5.0% 5.6% 7.7% 11.3% 13.2% 15.2% 13.8% 8.6% 1.6%
Vincent Yannelli 7.8% 7.7% 8.8% 10.1% 11.6% 11.1% 12.4% 10.8% 8.3% 6.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Zak Dasaro 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 1.4% 1.8% 3.3% 4.6% 7.0% 8.5% 11.5% 15.1% 19.0% 17.1% 5.5%
Ben Hunt 2.9% 3.1% 3.1% 5.1% 5.8% 7.0% 8.4% 9.5% 12.0% 16.2% 11.6% 9.3% 5.4% 0.6%
Pierre Casenave-Pere 0.5% 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 1.9% 1.8% 2.3% 3.2% 6.6% 8.9% 13.0% 17.3% 30.3% 10.4%
Jonathan Gorman 2.3% 1.0% 1.8% 1.7% 2.0% 4.2% 3.6% 5.7% 8.2% 11.5% 15.5% 19.6% 18.3% 4.6%
Matthew Daghir 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 3.5% 4.4% 11.6% 75.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.