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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.40+3.13vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.77+3.54vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.73vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.68+2.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+0.82vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.05-0.92vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.48-3.18vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.64+0.60vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.05+1.15vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute0.81-1.63vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.43+0.17vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-1.71vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.51-4.09vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-2.14-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Fordham University2.400.2%1st Place
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5.54University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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3.73SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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6.02Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.1%1st Place
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5.08SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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3.82Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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8.6Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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10.15Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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8.37Webb Institute0.810.0%1st Place
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11.17Columbia University-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.29SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.91Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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13.36SUNY Maritime College-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Hersam | 16.1% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 20.7% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Welker | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 10.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Guiot | 18.6% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| Zak Dasaro | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 4.5% |
| Ben Hunt | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 18.3% | 29.6% | 11.7% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 19.5% | 20.3% | 4.5% |
| Nicole Edwards | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Daghir | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 11.6% | 75.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.