Race 6A

greater-ny-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Julien Guiot 18.0% 16.2% 16.6% 12.4% 10.0% 9.7% 6.7% 4.8% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Tucker Hersam 16.7% 17.5% 12.8% 13.6% 12.8% 9.1% 8.1% 4.1% 2.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Cooper 7.3% 8.8% 8.7% 9.4% 9.0% 12.1% 11.5% 12.9% 7.9% 7.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Vincent Yannelli 7.7% 7.6% 10.7% 11.4% 11.7% 11.3% 10.1% 10.2% 8.4% 5.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Luke Welker 7.1% 9.6% 8.7% 11.0% 11.1% 10.8% 11.3% 11.5% 8.8% 4.5% 3.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 18.7% 15.9% 17.0% 14.6% 9.3% 10.3% 5.6% 4.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Zak Dasaro 1.6% 1.5% 2.4% 2.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.3% 6.7% 7.5% 11.9% 15.8% 17.8% 17.1% 3.1%
Juan Lejarraga 11.8% 12.1% 10.9% 10.7% 11.4% 11.5% 10.7% 8.5% 5.8% 4.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Lillian Vincens 3.3% 2.4% 2.9% 2.9% 5.6% 4.5% 8.7% 8.1% 13.2% 14.1% 14.0% 12.6% 6.4% 1.3%
Pierre Casenave-Pere 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 1.8% 1.3% 2.0% 2.2% 2.8% 6.1% 9.4% 12.1% 16.7% 32.7% 10.1%
Ben Hunt 2.7% 3.6% 3.9% 4.2% 5.5% 7.0% 9.0% 9.7% 12.4% 14.3% 11.4% 10.3% 5.0% 1.0%
Nicole Edwards 2.4% 1.7% 3.1% 3.5% 4.4% 4.6% 6.8% 9.5% 12.5% 13.9% 14.0% 12.9% 8.5% 2.2%
Matthew Daghir 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 2.9% 4.6% 9.5% 77.7%
Jonathan Gorman 1.3% 1.6% 1.4% 2.2% 3.3% 2.7% 4.8% 6.1% 7.8% 9.7% 15.8% 19.9% 18.9% 4.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.