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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.72vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+3.53vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.05+1.98vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.48+0.03vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.40-0.70vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.77-0.21vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.68-1.24vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute0.81+0.20vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.05+1.22vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+0.39vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.51-1.91vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.43-0.88vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-2.14+0.33vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.64-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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5.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.1%1st Place
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4.98SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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4.03Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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4.3Fordham University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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5.76Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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8.2Webb Institute0.810.0%1st Place
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10.22Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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10.39SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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9.09Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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11.12Columbia University-0.430.0%1st Place
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13.33SUNY Maritime College-2.140.0%1st Place
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8.55Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 20.5% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Welker | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julien Guiot | 16.3% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Hersam | 12.7% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Zak Dasaro | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 4.7% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 21.6% | 5.5% |
| Nicole Edwards | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 1.9% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 28.9% | 10.9% |
| Matthew Daghir | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 12.0% | 75.1% |
| Lillian Vincens | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.