Race 8A

greater-ny-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Vidar Minkovsky 20.0% 16.5% 18.3% 11.4% 10.4% 9.0% 6.0% 4.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tucker Hersam 16.5% 16.5% 13.1% 14.6% 13.2% 9.0% 7.6% 4.4% 3.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Welker 8.4% 9.5% 8.6% 9.7% 12.4% 10.8% 11.0% 11.2% 9.0% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Vincent Yannelli 7.0% 8.8% 10.6% 10.7% 10.5% 13.2% 10.0% 10.5% 8.2% 5.1% 3.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Thomas Cooper 6.1% 8.3% 7.7% 11.6% 10.4% 11.1% 12.7% 8.1% 10.1% 6.9% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Julien Guiot 16.9% 15.4% 15.4% 14.1% 9.8% 11.0% 7.3% 4.7% 3.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Juan Lejarraga 12.1% 13.0% 11.7% 11.4% 12.7% 11.9% 8.8% 8.9% 5.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Ben Hunt 3.5% 3.7% 4.3% 5.1% 6.4% 4.6% 8.8% 11.2% 12.3% 11.9% 12.5% 10.0% 4.7% 1.0%
Lillian Vincens 3.1% 2.5% 2.5% 3.3% 3.9% 5.7% 7.4% 10.7% 11.5% 16.4% 14.2% 11.8% 5.9% 1.1%
Nicole Edwards 2.6% 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 3.8% 5.0% 8.0% 9.6% 10.4% 13.8% 15.4% 13.5% 8.8% 1.8%
Jonathan Gorman 0.9% 1.6% 2.2% 1.3% 1.5% 3.2% 4.9% 6.6% 7.2% 10.5% 15.4% 20.2% 19.6% 4.9%
Zak Dasaro 1.1% 1.2% 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 3.0% 4.0% 5.6% 9.7% 13.9% 14.6% 16.0% 19.1% 4.4%
Pierre Casenave-Pere 1.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 3.0% 3.4% 6.5% 7.8% 12.3% 18.1% 30.5% 9.9%
Matthew Daghir 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.8% 2.7% 4.8% 10.5% 76.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.