Race 9A

greater-ny-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Vidar Minkovsky 19.8% 18.9% 15.3% 12.7% 9.7% 8.6% 5.9% 5.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Tucker Hersam 16.9% 15.1% 15.5% 13.2% 11.3% 11.4% 6.5% 4.9% 2.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Vincent Yannelli 8.1% 9.0% 9.3% 9.9% 10.2% 11.4% 12.6% 11.0% 8.3% 6.1% 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Juan Lejarraga 10.1% 10.9% 12.5% 11.6% 13.4% 11.1% 11.4% 7.8% 5.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Welker 6.9% 8.7% 9.7% 10.0% 11.4% 13.0% 10.0% 10.1% 9.8% 5.0% 3.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Ben Hunt 2.9% 3.4% 3.5% 4.4% 5.5% 4.7% 9.7% 10.6% 12.6% 14.3% 12.5% 9.5% 5.7% 0.7%
Julien Guiot 18.3% 17.0% 14.3% 14.6% 12.3% 8.8% 6.2% 4.8% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Cooper 7.8% 8.7% 9.4% 9.0% 9.8% 11.0% 11.6% 9.3% 9.7% 7.5% 3.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Pierre Casenave-Pere 0.8% 1.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 2.4% 4.3% 4.5% 7.2% 13.5% 18.3% 31.3% 10.4%
Matthew Daghir 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 2.8% 10.5% 78.2%
Lillian Vincens 2.6% 2.2% 2.9% 3.9% 5.6% 5.6% 7.6% 8.5% 14.3% 13.3% 13.4% 11.7% 7.3% 1.1%
Nicole Edwards 2.5% 1.7% 2.4% 3.9% 3.7% 6.0% 6.5% 9.5% 11.5% 15.1% 13.8% 13.3% 8.7% 1.4%
Jonathan Gorman 1.9% 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 3.0% 3.0% 3.2% 6.2% 8.0% 11.7% 15.9% 18.8% 18.8% 4.8%
Zak Dasaro 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 3.1% 2.5% 3.6% 6.0% 6.7% 7.5% 11.1% 15.6% 19.7% 16.3% 3.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.