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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.94+2.61vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.07+1.37vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.86vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.740.00vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.17+0.14vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.69-1.98vs Predicted
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8Columbia University-1.32+2.28vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.51-0.20vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.97-4.31vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.47-2.24vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-1.07-2.08vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-3.14-0.49vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.51-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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3.37Fordham University2.070.2%1st Place
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5.86SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.0University of Vermont1.740.2%1st Place
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5.14Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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4.02SUNY Maritime College1.690.2%1st Place
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10.28Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
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8.8Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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5.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.970.1%1st Place
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8.76Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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9.92Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.51SUNY Stony Brook-3.140.0%1st Place
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9.04Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Drayton | 19.7% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Johnsen | 20.9% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 15.8% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 15.2% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Johnson | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 33.3% | 9.2% |
| George Kevrekidis | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 1.5% |
| Jackson Webster | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 10.6% | 1.7% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 23.5% | 5.5% |
| Alisher Khodjaniyazov | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 79.9% |
| Haley Collins | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 12.3% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.