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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.17+4.28vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.94+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.74+1.00vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.07-0.63vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.77vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.69-2.94vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-1.07+1.81vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.51-0.18vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.97-4.31vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.47-2.20vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.51-3.22vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-1.32-2.54vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-3.14-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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3.62Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.0University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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3.37Fordham University2.070.2%1st Place
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5.77SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.06SUNY Maritime College1.690.2%1st Place
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9.81Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.82Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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5.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.970.1%1st Place
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8.8Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.78Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.46Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
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12.52SUNY Stony Brook-3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Capozzi | 9.1% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 18.5% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 14.8% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Johnsen | 21.9% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 15.2% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 21.2% | 25.4% | 4.1% |
| George Kevrekidis | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 1.1% |
| Jackson Webster | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 2.2% |
| Haley Collins | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 9.2% | 1.3% |
| Charles Johnson | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 20.3% | 32.5% | 10.9% |
| Alisher Khodjaniyazov | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 80.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.