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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria2.39+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.63+3.24vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.80+1.84vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.72+6.39vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.22-1.00vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.15+1.11vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.59-1.74vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia0.70-2.93vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.34-3.56vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-0.76-3.56vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-0.68-4.55vs Predicted
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14University of Puget Sound-1.30-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11University of Victoria2.390.4%1st Place
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5.24University of Washington0.630.1%1st Place
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4.84Western Washington University0.800.1%1st Place
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10.39University of Washington-1.720.0%1st Place
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4.0Western Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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7.11Oregon State University-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.26Western Washington University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.07University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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7.44Western Washington University-0.340.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Puget Sound-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Oregon-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Puget Sound-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brianna Cerkiewicz | 42.1% | 28.6% | 15.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Utter | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sara Welsh | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Philip | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 20.8% | 44.8% |
| Kristina Stewart | 14.1% | 14.9% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carl Fixsen | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Kirsten Campbell | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Elisha Allen | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Veronica Whitley | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Lindsay Maggard | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 10.6% |
| Taisuke Kamoshita | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 10.4% |
| Diana Fahning | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 24.8% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.