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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.94+2.62vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.90+3.83vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.69+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.740.00vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.07-1.67vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.17-0.84vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.97-2.43vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-1.32+1.34vs Predicted
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10Columbia University-0.51-1.10vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.47-2.27vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-1.07-2.13vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.51-4.01vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-3.14-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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5.83SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.13SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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4.0University of Vermont1.740.2%1st Place
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3.33Fordham University2.070.2%1st Place
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5.16Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.970.1%1st Place
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10.34Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
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8.9Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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8.73Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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9.87Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.99Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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12.53SUNY Stony Brook-3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Drayton | 19.2% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 14.0% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 15.8% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Johnsen | 21.8% | 21.0% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Webster | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Charles Johnson | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 14.6% | 19.6% | 33.4% | 7.3% |
| Haley Collins | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 11.7% | 2.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 21.0% | 21.8% | 5.9% |
| George Kevrekidis | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 1.9% |
| Alisher Khodjaniyazov | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 9.4% | 80.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.