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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.07+2.35vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.94+1.60vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.97+2.70vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.88vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.17+0.18vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.51+2.85vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.51+1.76vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.69-3.95vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute-0.47-0.17vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.74-6.04vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-1.07-1.16vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-1.32-2.53vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-3.14-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Fordham University2.070.2%1st Place
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3.6Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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5.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.970.1%1st Place
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5.88SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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5.18Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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8.85Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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8.76Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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4.05SUNY Maritime College1.690.2%1st Place
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8.83Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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3.96University of Vermont1.740.2%1st Place
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9.84Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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10.47Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
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12.53SUNY Stony Brook-3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Johnsen | 22.3% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 19.1% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Webster | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 1.2% |
| George Kevrekidis | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 10.8% | 1.7% |
| Hunter Kahler | 15.4% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 20.4% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 1.3% |
| Peter Schneider | 17.4% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 23.9% | 21.3% | 5.3% |
| Charles Johnson | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 20.3% | 33.5% | 10.2% |
| Alisher Khodjaniyazov | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 9.3% | 80.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.