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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.74+2.98vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.07+1.34vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.97+2.71vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.17+1.29vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.73vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.69-1.96vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-0.47+0.67vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.94-5.45vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.51-1.09vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.51-2.12vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-1.32-1.68vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-1.07-2.96vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-3.14-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98University of Vermont1.740.2%1st Place
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3.34Fordham University2.070.2%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.970.1%1st Place
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5.29Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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5.73SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.04SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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8.67Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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3.55Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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8.91Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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8.88Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.32Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
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10.04Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.53SUNY Stony Brook-3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Schneider | 16.2% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Johnsen | 22.4% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Webster | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 14.9% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 9.2% | 1.2% |
| Wells Drayton | 19.7% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 1.9% |
| Haley Collins | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 2.0% |
| Charles Johnson | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 14.9% | 20.4% | 29.9% | 8.6% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 20.5% | 26.7% | 5.8% |
| Alisher Khodjaniyazov | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 80.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.