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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.07+2.41vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.74+1.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.97+2.69vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.69+0.13vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-1.32+5.26vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.90-0.27vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-0.51+1.77vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.51+0.88vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.17-3.70vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.94-7.42vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-1.07-2.13vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.47-4.11vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-3.14-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Fordham University2.070.2%1st Place
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3.95University of Vermont1.740.2%1st Place
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5.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.970.1%1st Place
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4.13SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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10.26Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
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5.73SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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8.77Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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8.88Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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5.3Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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3.58Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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9.87Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.89Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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12.54SUNY Stony Brook-3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Johnsen | 21.1% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 15.1% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Webster | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Kahler | 14.8% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Johnson | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 19.0% | 31.8% | 8.4% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 16.9% | 11.5% | 1.7% |
| George Kevrekidis | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Wells Drayton | 20.3% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 24.1% | 5.4% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 10.5% | 1.6% |
| Alisher Khodjaniyazov | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 8.8% | 81.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.