← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.17+4.26vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.07+1.37vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont1.74+1.02vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.94-0.37vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.75vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.97-0.42vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College1.69-2.94vs Predicted
-
8Columbia University-1.32+2.33vs Predicted
-
9Columbia University-0.51-0.10vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University-0.51-1.12vs Predicted
-
11Webb Institute-0.47-2.34vs Predicted
-
13Fairfield University-1.07-2.98vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Stony Brook-3.14-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.26Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
-
3.37Fordham University2.070.2%1st Place
-
4.02University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
-
3.63Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
-
5.75SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
-
5.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.970.1%1st Place
-
4.06SUNY Maritime College1.690.2%1st Place
-
10.33Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
-
8.9Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
-
8.88Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
-
8.66Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
-
10.02Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
-
12.53SUNY Stony Brook-3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Capozzi | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sam Johnsen | 20.2% | 21.8% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 14.1% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 19.0% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Webster | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 16.7% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Johnson | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 20.5% | 32.2% | 8.0% |
| Haley Collins | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 11.2% | 1.8% |
| George Kevrekidis | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 2.5% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 8.8% | 1.1% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 21.9% | 25.9% | 5.6% |
| Alisher Khodjaniyazov | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 80.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.