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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.07+2.39vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.17+3.26vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.94+0.64vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.69+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.74-1.00vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.51+2.87vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.51+1.76vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.97-2.41vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.07+0.96vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.90-4.18vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.47-3.35vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-1.32-2.55vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-3.14-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Fordham University2.070.2%1st Place
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5.26Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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3.64Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.09SUNY Maritime College1.690.2%1st Place
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4.0University of Vermont1.740.2%1st Place
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8.87Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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8.76Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.970.1%1st Place
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9.96Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.82SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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8.65Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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10.45Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
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12.53SUNY Stony Brook-3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Johnsen | 21.9% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 17.7% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 15.8% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 16.2% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 19.0% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 1.5% |
| George Kevrekidis | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 10.8% | 1.6% |
| Jackson Webster | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 21.4% | 26.3% | 5.4% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 8.3% | 1.4% |
| Charles Johnson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 21.0% | 32.3% | 10.1% |
| Alisher Khodjaniyazov | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 9.5% | 80.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.