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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.94+2.60vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.07+1.37vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.17+2.28vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.83vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.69-0.97vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.97-0.42vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-0.47+1.62vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.51+0.82vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.74-4.98vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.51-2.14vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-3.14+0.49vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-1.07-2.99vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-1.32-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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3.37Fordham University2.070.2%1st Place
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5.28Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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5.83SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.03SUNY Maritime College1.690.2%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.970.1%1st Place
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8.62Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.82Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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4.02University of Vermont1.740.2%1st Place
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8.86Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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12.49SUNY Stony Brook-3.140.0%1st Place
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10.01Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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10.48Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Drayton | 19.5% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Johnsen | 21.5% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Kahler | 16.0% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Webster | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 9.3% | 1.1% |
| George Kevrekidis | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 9.8% | 1.2% |
| Peter Schneider | 15.4% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 2.6% |
| Alisher Khodjaniyazov | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 10.7% | 77.7% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 20.3% | 26.3% | 6.5% |
| Charles Johnson | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 19.3% | 31.9% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.