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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.17+4.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.97+3.56vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.12+4.98vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.80vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.07-1.72vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.74-2.06vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.94-3.45vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.69-3.98vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.07+0.71vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-1.85+0.89vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.51-2.44vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-1.32-1.79vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-3.14-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.970.1%1st Place
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7.98Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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5.8SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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3.28Fordham University2.070.2%1st Place
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3.94University of Vermont1.740.2%1st Place
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3.55Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.02SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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9.71Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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10.89Princeton University-1.850.0%1st Place
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8.56Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.21Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
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12.39SUNY Stony Brook-3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Capozzi | 7.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Webster | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Dixon | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 21.4% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Johnsen | 23.6% | 19.5% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 16.0% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 19.8% | 18.9% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 15.0% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 20.9% | 23.2% | 17.4% | 4.3% |
| Lucy Norton | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 12.6% | 20.5% | 34.3% | 15.8% |
| Haley Collins | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 14.0% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Charles Johnson | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 24.0% | 25.3% | 6.7% |
| Alisher Khodjaniyazov | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 14.4% | 71.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.