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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.80+3.96vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria2.39+0.10vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-0.15+4.13vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.22+0.01vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.59-1.67vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia0.70-2.87vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.34-1.55vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.63-4.82vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.68-2.77vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-0.76-3.57vs Predicted
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13University of Puget Sound-1.30-3.33vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-1.72-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Western Washington University0.800.1%1st Place
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2.1University of Victoria2.390.4%1st Place
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7.13Oregon State University-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.01Western Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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5.33Western Washington University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.13University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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7.45Western Washington University-0.340.0%1st Place
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5.18University of Washington0.630.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Oregon-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Puget Sound-0.760.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Puget Sound-1.300.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Washington-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Welsh | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Brianna Cerkiewicz | 44.3% | 26.3% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carl Fixsen | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 2.8% |
| Kristina Stewart | 11.9% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kirsten Campbell | 7.4% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Elisha Allen | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Whitley | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Molly Utter | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Taisuke Kamoshita | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 13.0% | 8.4% |
| Lindsay Maggard | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 10.2% |
| Diana Fahning | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 22.5% | 28.1% |
| Brendan Philip | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 22.8% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.