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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+4.39vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.58+3.10vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+1.76vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.98+5.70vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.14+1.66vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.22+0.39vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-2.12vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-2.01vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.16+2.89vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.04-3.09vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.14-4.41vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.52-3.67vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.35-4.31vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-2.19-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.1George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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4.76Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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4.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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11.89Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.91Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.59Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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8.33Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.69Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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13.71William and Mary-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 13.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 14.5% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 23.7% | 14.4% | 1.9% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 13.2% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 12.7% | 56.0% | 9.9% |
| Grace Howie | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 6.0% | 0.3% |
| Anna Patterson | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 7.9% | 0.3% |
| Amy Hilla | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 7.9% | 87.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.