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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+3.71vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.98+7.56vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.14+3.49vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.22+2.32vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+1.13vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.81vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.04-0.44vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.53vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58-3.71vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.50-4.46vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.35-2.16vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.52-3.64vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.16-1.16vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-2.19-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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9.56University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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6.49Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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6.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.56Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.47U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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5.29George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.54Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.84Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.36Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.84Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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13.71William and Mary-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 15.1% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 23.0% | 14.8% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 11.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 8.2% | 0.6% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 0.6% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 13.3% | 54.5% | 9.8% |
| Amy Hilla | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 8.5% | 87.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.