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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.14+5.50vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.00vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.58+2.33vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.35+4.84vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.98+4.81vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.04+1.01vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76-2.41vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14-1.44vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.62vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.81vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77-6.12vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.52-3.59vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.16-2.21vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-2.19-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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5.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.33George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.84Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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7.01Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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4.59Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.56Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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6.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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4.88Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.41Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.79Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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13.71William and Mary-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica McJones | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 7.9% | 0.7% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 22.5% | 17.7% | 1.5% |
| Grace Howie | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 14.9% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 13.2% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 0.8% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 15.1% | 51.5% | 9.8% |
| Amy Hilla | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 8.3% | 86.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.