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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.14+5.55vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+2.67vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.18vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+2.18vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.04+2.04vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.58-0.59vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77-2.39vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.98+1.74vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.52-0.52vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14-3.28vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.22-4.57vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.16-0.80vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.35-5.19vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.81-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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4.67Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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7.04Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.41George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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4.61Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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8.48Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.72Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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12.2Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.81Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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12.98William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica McJones | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Grace Howie | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 14.6% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katarina Catallo | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 22.4% | 15.2% | 5.4% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 7.7% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 13.8% | 36.3% | 30.1% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 2.0% |
| Nina Willms | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 22.0% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.