Race 10A

maisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Carolyn Kearney 7.7% 8.1% 10.3% 9.1% 8.7% 8.6% 9.4% 9.4% 7.8% 9.1% 6.1% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
Rose Edwards 14.9% 13.4% 12.9% 12.2% 10.4% 9.2% 8.8% 7.1% 4.9% 2.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Ellie Ungar 9.7% 8.9% 8.0% 9.6% 7.1% 10.4% 9.9% 8.7% 9.0% 8.3% 6.1% 3.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Bailey Carter 10.4% 12.0% 11.8% 10.2% 11.4% 9.8% 8.9% 7.0% 6.8% 6.4% 3.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Grace Howie 4.8% 7.1% 6.9% 8.8% 7.4% 8.7% 9.7% 9.0% 9.2% 8.6% 10.2% 7.3% 1.9% 0.4%
Jessica McJones 7.1% 6.2% 7.8% 8.8% 8.0% 10.3% 7.7% 10.5% 9.9% 8.1% 8.3% 5.4% 1.8% 0.1%
Gabby Rizika 15.1% 15.2% 12.4% 11.7% 10.8% 7.9% 9.0% 6.6% 5.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia Windemuller 7.7% 8.2% 8.3% 7.6% 8.4% 8.2% 9.0% 9.7% 8.9% 8.1% 7.8% 6.0% 1.8% 0.3%
Katarina Catallo 3.3% 1.9% 1.8% 2.6% 3.6% 4.0% 3.8% 5.6% 6.7% 10.8% 14.0% 21.9% 14.7% 5.3%
Liliana Loosbrock 3.7% 3.5% 3.3% 4.7% 6.1% 6.9% 6.6% 7.7% 9.4% 11.9% 12.5% 14.7% 7.4% 1.6%
Miranda Bakos 11.2% 10.9% 11.0% 9.9% 11.9% 8.3% 9.3% 9.0% 7.4% 4.6% 4.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Haley Clemson 0.3% 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 1.9% 1.4% 1.6% 2.5% 3.4% 6.4% 11.5% 38.1% 29.3%
Anna Patterson 3.8% 3.4% 4.4% 3.4% 4.7% 5.2% 5.4% 7.2% 10.5% 11.6% 14.2% 15.1% 8.5% 2.6%
Nina Willms 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 3.3% 6.1% 22.0% 59.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.