Race 11A

maisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Rose Edwards 13.3% 15.4% 12.0% 11.1% 11.3% 9.5% 5.7% 8.0% 5.4% 3.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Miranda Bakos 12.4% 12.9% 10.9% 10.4% 9.2% 10.4% 9.6% 8.4% 7.6% 3.6% 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Katarina Catallo 3.2% 2.6% 2.7% 3.3% 3.3% 4.4% 4.8% 5.3% 6.1% 7.2% 14.8% 21.6% 16.8% 3.9%
Bailey Carter 10.2% 12.6% 12.0% 10.8% 10.3% 9.7% 8.7% 7.7% 6.5% 6.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Carolyn Kearney 6.6% 7.5% 9.2% 9.8% 7.8% 8.4% 9.4% 9.3% 9.7% 8.4% 8.2% 4.1% 1.4% 0.2%
Olivia Windemuller 7.1% 6.0% 8.7% 6.5% 9.2% 9.2% 9.5% 9.5% 8.7% 9.0% 7.8% 6.4% 2.3% 0.1%
Gabby Rizika 15.1% 14.6% 12.9% 12.0% 10.3% 7.6% 8.5% 7.6% 4.3% 3.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Liliana Loosbrock 5.0% 4.2% 4.1% 5.6% 5.0% 5.4% 6.4% 8.6% 9.3% 10.5% 12.5% 13.0% 9.0% 1.4%
Jessica McJones 7.7% 6.6% 6.3% 7.6% 8.8% 9.6% 9.7% 9.6% 8.4% 11.7% 7.6% 4.5% 1.3% 0.6%
Ellie Ungar 8.3% 7.5% 9.1% 9.4% 9.5% 8.6% 9.8% 9.8% 9.3% 8.0% 6.9% 3.0% 0.6% 0.2%
Grace Howie 6.6% 6.4% 6.3% 7.4% 8.6% 8.8% 9.5% 7.0% 12.0% 10.4% 7.9% 6.3% 2.3% 0.5%
Haley Clemson 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 1.7% 1.3% 1.8% 2.4% 3.0% 5.6% 13.1% 36.2% 30.9%
Nina Willms 0.8% 0.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.8% 2.8% 2.8% 6.1% 21.0% 60.4%
Anna Patterson 3.3% 2.8% 4.3% 4.6% 5.3% 5.9% 6.2% 6.5% 8.5% 11.5% 14.6% 17.0% 7.7% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.