← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.20+8.07vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.68+5.25vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.59+9.76vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.73+3.03vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania1.58+6.69vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.49+2.03vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University2.10+2.26vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.38+1.28vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.60-1.51vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.15-4.80vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University1.98-1.32vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.22-3.74vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College-0.02+2.51vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-3.73vs Predicted
-
15Yale University2.73-9.58vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan1.64-5.12vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-3.48vs Predicted
-
18Boston University1.39-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.07Boston College2.204.7%1st Place
-
7.25Roger Williams University2.688.8%1st Place
-
12.76Northeastern University1.592.1%1st Place
-
7.03Brown University2.738.8%1st Place
-
11.69University of Pennsylvania1.581.7%1st Place
-
8.03College of Charleston2.497.1%1st Place
-
9.26Jacksonville University2.105.0%1st Place
-
9.28Bowdoin College2.383.9%1st Place
-
7.49U. S. Naval Academy2.607.2%1st Place
-
5.2Stanford University3.1513.8%1st Place
-
9.68Fordham University1.984.5%1st Place
-
8.26Tufts University2.226.5%1st Place
-
15.51SUNY Maritime College-0.021.0%1st Place
-
10.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.7%1st Place
-
5.42Yale University2.7311.9%1st Place
-
10.88University of Michigan1.643.6%1st Place
-
13.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.992.1%1st Place
-
10.38Boston University1.393.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 11.7% |
| Guthrie Braun | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Cole Woodworth | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 47.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Jack Egan | 11.9% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Braden Vogel | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 19.2% | 16.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.