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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.70+4.21vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria2.39+0.11vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.68+5.31vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.22+0.03vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.15+1.08vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.34+0.55vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.59-2.71vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.63-4.76vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.80-6.22vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-1.30-2.48vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-1.72-2.61vs Predicted
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14University of Puget Sound-0.76-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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2.11University of Victoria2.390.5%1st Place
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8.31University of Oregon-0.680.0%1st Place
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4.03Western Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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7.08Oregon State University-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.55Western Washington University-0.340.0%1st Place
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5.29Western Washington University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Washington0.630.1%1st Place
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4.78Western Washington University0.800.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Puget Sound-1.300.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Washington-1.720.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Puget Sound-0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elisha Allen | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Brianna Cerkiewicz | 45.2% | 24.5% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taisuke Kamoshita | 1.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 8.9% |
| Kristina Stewart | 12.1% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carl Fixsen | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Veronica Whitley | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 3.6% |
| Kirsten Campbell | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Molly Utter | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Sara Welsh | 8.8% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Diana Fahning | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 23.4% | 25.8% |
| Brendan Philip | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 18.5% | 47.5% |
| Lindsay Maggard | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.