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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.73+5.87vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.44+2.87vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+2.89vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.35vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.19+0.78vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.56-1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia0.82+2.12vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.91-1.53vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.11-4.03vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.76-6.78vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.24-0.31vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.76-3.47vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.42-2.16vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.87-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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5.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.78Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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4.84U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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6.47Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.97Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.22George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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11.69Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.53Christopher Newport University0.760.0%1st Place
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11.84Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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12.54William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brittney Slook | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 8.4% | 2.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Riley Legault | 15.6% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 20.5% | 27.7% | 21.0% |
| Kaitlyn Reilly | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 20.2% | 16.5% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 19.0% | 28.5% | 25.6% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 13.2% | 21.4% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.