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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.19+4.54vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.11+3.62vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+3.35vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.73+2.92vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+0.33vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.24+5.67vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.42vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.87+4.46vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.35-3.80vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.56-5.31vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.44-7.02vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia0.82-3.64vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.76-4.58vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.42-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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5.62Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.35Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.92Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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11.67Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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12.46William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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5.2George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.69U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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4.98University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.36University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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9.42Christopher Newport University0.760.0%1st Place
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11.86Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lola Bushnell | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 20.9% | 26.3% | 22.4% |
| Jessica Bennett | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 22.2% | 46.6% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 11.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 13.4% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 13.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Kaitlyn Reilly | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 10.1% | 2.9% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 27.7% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.