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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.56+3.59vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.73+4.68vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.20vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+1.81vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.24+6.62vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.95vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.91-0.87vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.19-2.41vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11-3.11vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.76-0.42vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.87+1.62vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.82-2.69vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.35-8.91vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.42-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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6.68Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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11.62Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.13Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.59Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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5.89Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.58Christopher Newport University0.760.0%1st Place
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12.62William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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5.09George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.81Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Slook | 14.6% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 21.2% | 26.1% | 21.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 12.7% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lola Bushnell | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Reilly | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 18.7% | 17.9% | 10.4% | 3.3% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 13.4% | 22.0% | 48.1% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 10.7% | 17.9% | 29.7% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.