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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.44+3.98vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+2.09vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.24+8.48vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+2.51vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.99vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.19-0.18vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.76+2.24vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.66vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.56-4.20vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.87+2.61vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.73-3.95vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.82-2.65vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.11-8.16vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.42-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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4.09George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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11.48Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.51Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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5.82Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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9.24Christopher Newport University0.760.0%1st Place
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5.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.8U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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12.61William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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7.05Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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5.84Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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11.88Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Esquier | 11.0% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Riley Legault | 18.7% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 29.0% | 20.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Reilly | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Katherine Cox | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 6.3% | 14.1% | 22.5% | 47.4% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 2.4% |
| Sebby Turner | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 19.9% | 25.7% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.