← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.91+5.41vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.57vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.73+3.95vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.19+1.78vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.13vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.01vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.11-1.31vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.67vs Predicted
-
10Columbia University-0.24+1.61vs Predicted
-
11William and Mary-0.87+1.61vs Predicted
-
12Drexel University-0.42-0.04vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University0.76-3.45vs Predicted
-
14University of Virginia0.82-4.74vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University2.76-10.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.41Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
-
4.57U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
-
6.95Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
-
5.78Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
-
5.13University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
-
6.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
-
5.69Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
-
5.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
-
11.61Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
-
12.61William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
-
11.96Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
-
9.55Christopher Newport University0.760.0%1st Place
-
9.26University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
-
4.13George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Groble | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Brittney Slook | 15.3% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 12.4% | 21.0% | 28.7% | 18.8% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 22.4% | 48.7% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 18.9% | 27.1% | 26.9% |
| Kaitlyn Reilly | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 9.3% | 3.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 9.2% | 2.0% |
| Riley Legault | 17.3% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.