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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.19vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+2.06vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+2.94vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.19+1.73vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+1.04vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.73+1.06vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.56-2.49vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.91-1.58vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia0.82+0.39vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.91vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.76-1.46vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.24-0.34vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.87-1.48vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.42-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.06George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.94Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.73Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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6.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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7.06Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.51U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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6.42Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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5.09University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.54Christopher Newport University0.760.0%1st Place
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11.66Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.52William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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11.85Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 17.9% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lola Bushnell | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 15.0% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 8.6% | 3.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Reilly | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 3.1% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 12.0% | 21.6% | 24.4% | 22.4% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 12.9% | 22.2% | 46.6% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 18.4% | 29.4% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.