Race 11B

maisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lola Bushnell 9.5% 11.1% 10.2% 9.4% 11.2% 11.0% 9.6% 8.6% 7.2% 6.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Riley Legault 18.3% 16.7% 13.9% 13.1% 12.7% 8.8% 5.2% 5.4% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Bennett 9.1% 8.8% 9.1% 9.6% 10.8% 9.6% 9.6% 10.2% 8.8% 8.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Charlotte Leclue 5.6% 6.0% 7.0% 8.3% 7.8% 9.1% 10.2% 10.1% 11.6% 10.6% 8.0% 4.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Ava Esquier 10.8% 12.5% 12.5% 11.3% 10.8% 10.1% 10.6% 7.5% 6.6% 4.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Bridget Groble 7.3% 6.2% 7.6% 8.7% 8.9% 9.8% 10.7% 8.7% 12.1% 9.8% 6.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Katherine Cox 12.7% 12.4% 10.2% 11.9% 10.9% 10.4% 9.7% 8.9% 6.8% 3.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Gillian Boehringer 6.8% 5.7% 8.0% 6.7% 7.0% 8.3% 9.4% 12.3% 10.1% 10.0% 9.0% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3%
Katie Purcell 3.1% 2.6% 2.4% 2.6% 3.3% 3.6% 6.1% 7.8% 9.1% 14.2% 19.0% 15.3% 8.2% 2.7%
Kaitlyn Reilly 2.1% 2.5% 2.2% 2.7% 3.1% 5.0% 5.3% 6.4% 10.0% 12.0% 17.1% 17.5% 10.4% 3.7%
Alba Fernandez 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 2.4% 3.9% 6.8% 11.9% 22.5% 46.3%
Brittney Slook 12.8% 13.6% 14.0% 12.6% 10.9% 9.9% 8.8% 7.9% 3.9% 3.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Abigail Proko 1.0% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 2.6% 3.3% 5.5% 8.7% 18.7% 26.8% 27.0%
Isabel De La Torre 0.7% 0.8% 1.3% 0.8% 1.4% 2.2% 2.1% 2.3% 4.8% 6.5% 10.5% 19.6% 27.6% 19.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.