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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+6.89vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.15+3.30vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+4.15vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.73+1.64vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.60+2.58vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.73+0.92vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.22+1.16vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.58+3.89vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.10+0.32vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.38-0.97vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.98-1.30vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-1.59vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.39-2.54vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.64-3.22vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-1.60vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.02-0.37vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.20-8.05vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.59-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89College of Charleston2.497.1%1st Place
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5.3Stanford University3.1513.6%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University2.688.2%1st Place
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5.64Yale University2.7312.5%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Naval Academy2.607.7%1st Place
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6.92Brown University2.739.4%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University2.225.9%1st Place
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11.89University of Pennsylvania1.582.4%1st Place
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9.32Jacksonville University2.104.8%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College2.385.3%1st Place
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9.7Fordham University1.984.3%1st Place
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10.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.3%1st Place
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10.46Boston University1.393.6%1st Place
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10.78University of Michigan1.643.9%1st Place
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13.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.991.4%1st Place
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15.63SUNY Maritime College-0.020.5%1st Place
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8.95Boston College2.204.5%1st Place
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12.8Northeastern University1.591.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Cole Woodworth | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 7.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Braden Vogel | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 17.9% | 15.7% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 15.1% | 48.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.