← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University1.22+3.01vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.80+2.90vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-0.34+3.54vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria2.39-2.91vs Predicted
-
6University of Puget Sound-0.76+2.51vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University0.59-1.63vs Predicted
-
8University of British Columbia0.70-2.91vs Predicted
-
9University of Oregon-0.68-0.78vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington0.63-5.83vs Predicted
-
12University of Puget Sound-1.30-2.50vs Predicted
-
13Oregon State University-0.15-5.77vs Predicted
-
14University of Washington-1.72-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.01Western Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
-
4.9Western Washington University0.800.1%1st Place
-
7.54Western Washington University-0.340.0%1st Place
-
2.09University of Victoria2.390.5%1st Place
-
8.51University of Puget Sound-0.760.0%1st Place
-
5.37Western Washington University0.590.1%1st Place
-
5.09University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
-
8.22University of Oregon-0.680.0%1st Place
-
5.17University of Washington0.630.1%1st Place
-
9.5University of Puget Sound-1.300.0%1st Place
-
7.23Oregon State University-0.150.0%1st Place
-
10.35University of Washington-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristina Stewart | 13.6% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Welsh | 7.4% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Veronica Whitley | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 3.7% |
| Brianna Cerkiewicz | 45.2% | 26.2% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Maggard | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 11.4% |
| Kirsten Campbell | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Elisha Allen | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Taisuke Kamoshita | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 9.3% |
| Molly Utter | 5.8% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Diana Fahning | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 22.3% | 25.6% |
| Carl Fixsen | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Brendan Philip | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 12.5% | 19.6% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.