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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+5.52vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.49+7.42vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+5.05vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.57vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.36+4.76vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+0.88vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+0.28vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.99-0.58vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58+0.30vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-4.22vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39+2.23vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-5.85vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-4.44vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-4.13vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49+0.26vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.24-5.54vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.23-6.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.42Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.05Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.76Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.88Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.28Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.3University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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13.23Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.87Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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15.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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10.46Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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10.49Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma White | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 21.9% | 21.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.1% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Camille Matile | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Maya Stephani | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 15.8% | 58.0% |
| Claire Havig | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.