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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+6.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.68vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+3.73vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.20vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.41+4.56vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.71vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+1.52vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.99-0.63vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.84-0.75vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.20-3.35vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39+2.24vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-2.95vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.36-2.90vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-4.46vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.23-4.57vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.24-5.51vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.73Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.56Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.37Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.25Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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13.24Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.05University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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10.1Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.54Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.43Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.49Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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15.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Emma White | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 24.9% | 19.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Charlotte List | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 3.6% |
| Claire Havig | 3.2% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 4.0% |
| Maya Stephani | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 13.8% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.