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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.67vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+4.01vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+4.52vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+2.83vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+1.57vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+1.42vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.36+2.94vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.84-0.01vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.49+0.61vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-1.75vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23-0.48vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39+1.19vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.34vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-4.08vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49+0.26vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-6.85vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.24-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.52Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.83Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.57Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.42Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.94Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.99Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.61Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.52Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.19Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.92Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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15.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.48Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 12.6% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte List | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 4.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 25.0% | 19.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Camille Matile | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 2.0% |
| Maya Stephani | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 13.7% | 59.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Claire Havig | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.