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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+6.95vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+4.66vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+3.12vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.92vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+3.20vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+2.18vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-1.31vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.39+4.38vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.49-0.69vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.24-0.55vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-1.64vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.35vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49+1.37vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.41-5.24vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.99-8.44vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.36-7.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.66Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.12University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.46Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.69Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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13.38Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.31Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.45Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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10.36Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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15.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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9.76Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.56Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.99Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.4% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 25.1% | 20.4% |
| Charlotte List | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Claire Havig | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 3.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Maya Stephani | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 14.5% | 60.0% |
| Camille Matile | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Emma White | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.